The news that Janet Yellen was nominated to become the next Chairman of
the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System was greeted with
joy by financial markets and the financial press. Wall Street saw
Yellen's nomination as a harbinger of continued easy money. Contrast
this with the hand-wringing that took place when Larry Summers' name was
still in the running. Pundits worried that Summers would be too
cautious, too hawkish on inflation, or too close to big banks.
The reality is that there wouldn't have been a dime's worth of
difference between Yellen's and Summers' monetary policy. No matter who
is at the top, the conduct of monetary policy will be largely unchanged:
large-scale money printing to bail out big banks. There may be some
fiddling around the edges, but any monetary policy changes will be in
style only, not in substance.
Yellen, like Bernanke, Summers, and everyone else within the Fed's
orbit, believes in Keynesian economics. To economists of Yellen's
persuasion, the solution to recession is to stimulate spending by
creating more money. Wall Street need not worry about tapering of the
Fed's massive program of quantitative easing under Yellen's reign. If
anything, the Fed's trillion dollars of yearly money creation may even
increase.
What is obvious to most people not captured by the system is that the
Fed's loose monetary policy was the root cause of the current financial
crisis. Just like the Great Depression, the stagflation of the 1970s,
and every other recession of the past century, the current crisis
resulted from the creation of money and credit by the Federal Reserve,
which led to unsustainable economic booms.
Rather than allowing the malinvestments and bad debts caused by its
money creation to liquidate, the Fed continually tries to prop them up.
It pumps more and more money into the system, piling debt on top of debt
on top of debt. Yellen will continue along those lines, and she might
even end up being Ben Bernanke on steroids.
To Yellen, the booms and bust of the business cycle are random,
unforeseen events that take place just because. The possibility that the
Fed itself could be responsible for the booms and busts of the business
cycle would never enter her head. Nor would such thoughts cross the
minds of the hundreds of economists employed by the Fed. They will
continue to think the same way they have for decades, interpreting
economic data and market performance through the same distorted
Keynesian lens, and advocating for the same flawed policies over and
over.
As a result, the American people will continue to suffer decreases in
the purchasing power of the dollar and a diminished standard of living.
The phony recovery we find ourselves in is only due to the Fed's easy
money policies. But the Fed cannot continue to purchase trillions of
dollars of assets forever. Quantitative easing must end sometime, and at
that point the economy will face the prospect of rising interest rates,
mountains of bad debt and malinvested resources, and a Federal Reserve
which holds several trillion dollars of worthless bonds.
The future of the US economy with Chairman Yellen at the helm is grim
indeed, which provides all the more reason to end our system of central
economic planning by getting rid of the Federal Reserve entirely.
Ripping off the bandage may hurt some in the short run, but in the long
term everyone will be better off. Anyway, most of this pain will be
borne by the politicians, big banks, and other special interests who
profit from the current system. Ending this current system of crony
capitalism and moving to sound money and free markets is the only way to
return to economic prosperity and a vibrant middle class.